ICJ Enrollment Determinations: Where Navigator Judgment and the Data Diverge

Integrated Client Journey

Photo courtesy of United Way of Greater Houston

This study finds that navigator enrollment decisions in the ICJ program largely align with a predictive model of client readiness and explores outcomes of diverging cases.

United Way of Greater Houston’s Integrated Client Journey (ICJ) helps local residents achieve financial stability. To enroll in ICJ, applicants must demonstrate “readiness,” which United Way defines as the capacity and commitment to focus on long-term goals rather than short-term crisis management. A Kinder Institute evaluation of ICJ’s first three years found that enrollment decisions made by trained staff, known as “navigators,” largely matched a predictive model forecasting whether applicants met readiness standards.

Key findings

  • Navigator determinations matched the model’s readiness estimates in 78% of cases — a high rate of agreement given that navigators made judgments in real time without knowing how a client would progress.
  • Clients enrolled in ICJ whom the model estimated as not ready still made meaningful improvement in self-sufficiency and well-being in their first six months of program participation. This suggests that navigator judgment may detect strengths beyond measurable indicators. 

These findings help drive continuous improvement and clarify the efficacy of a program, illuminating who benefits from the initiative, the conditions under which participants succeed and how to strengthen outcomes over time. While these findings are specific to ICJ, the framework provides insight for any organization making eligibility decisions involving subjective evaluation of program applicants.

Suggested citation: Selsberg, B., & Cunha, F. (2026). ICJ enrollment determinations: Where navigator judgment and the data diverge. Center for Economic Mobility, Kinder Institute for Urban Research, Rice University. DOI: https://doi.org/10.25611/85X7-N024

 

 

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Integrated Client Journey

This evaluation of United Way's Integrated Client Journey initiative seeks to better understand which clients are "ready" to take steps toward financial stability.

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